Liquidity or Liquidation

Large parts of the world today suffer from a severecompany is happy, the tariffs go down for all the
liquidity crisis. The famed globalization of the capitalusers. Prepayment does have a contracting effect on
markets seems to confine itself, ever more, to thethe demand and usage of electricity - but this is
richer parts, the more liquid exchanges, the morewelcome. It just means that people use electricity
affluent geopolitical neighbourhoods. The fad ofmore efficiently.A totally different tack is the
"emerging economies" has all but died out. Try tellingverification approach. The person making the
the Macedonians about global capital markets: lastpayment carries with him a card which confirms that
year, the whole world invested 8 million USD in theirhe is creditworthy and will honour his obligations.
poor country. Breadwinners earn 300 DM a month onOtherwise, the card also serves as an insurance
average. Officially, in excess of one third of thepolicy: an entity, not connected to the transaction,
workforce is unemployed. Small wonder that peopleguarantees the payment for a fee. This entity is
do not pay their bills, employers do not pay salaries,financially viable and strong enough to be fully trusted
the banking system has a marked tendency to crashby the recipient of the payment.This market in credit
every now and then and the average real defaultguarantees is more developed in the USA (where
rate is 50%.Illiquidity erodes the trust between thecredit cards have overtaken cash and personal
economic players. Such trust is a precondition to thechecks as a mode of payment) than in Western
existence of a thriving, modern economy. We allEurope. But even in Europe there are credit card
postpone the gratification of our desires: we saveequivalents which are very widespread: the
now and consume later, for instance or we sell goodsEurocheck card, for instance, is really a credit card,
or services and get paid a month later. Suchthough it usually comes with physical checks and
postponement of gratification is at the heart of theguarantees only a limited amount. One must
economic machine of the new age. It cannot bedifferentiate the functions of a debit card (with direct
achieved, however, if the players do not trust eachand immediate billing of a bank account following a
other to fulfil their promises (to pay, for example).transaction) from those of a credit card. The latter
Alternatively, the state can instate an efficient courtallows for the billing of the account to take place in a
system, aided by active law enforcement agencies.given day during the month following the month in
Keeping promises can be imposed to counter thewhich the transaction was effected or converts the
natural tendency to ignore them.The countries inpayment into a series of instalments (within the
transition lack both: liquidity necessary to keep one'scredit limits of the cardholder as approved by his
monetary word and the legal system to force him tobank). But in both cases, the guarantee is there and
do so if he reneges. Small wonder that solutions areis the most predominant feature of the system. Such
actively being sought by all involved: the businesscards seem like a perfect solution but they are not:
community, the state, the courts and even bythe commissions charged by the card issuers are
consumers.In this article, we will describe a few ofoutrageous. Between 2 and 10 percent of the
the global trends. The trends are global, the reactionpayment made go to the pockets of the card
is world-wide because the problem is global. Bouncingissuers. Cards get stolen, forged, lost, abused by
checks have become a household reality in places astheir owners, expire. But with the advent of new
rich as Israel, for instance. The mounting crisis intechnologies all these problems should be solved.
Southeast Asia foreshadows bankruptcies andElectronic POS (point of sale) cash registers,
delinquencies on a chilling scale.The simplest method isconnected through networks of communication,
to revert to a cash economy. Payments arecheck the card and verify its data: is it valid, is it
accepted only in cash. This, naturally, slows thepresented by the lawful owner, was it stolen or lost,
velocity of money-like products and diminishes theiris the purchase within the limits of the approved
preponderance, obstructing the expansion ofcredit and so on. Then, the billing proceeds
economic activity. An even more malignant variant isautomatically. Such devices will virtually eliminate fraud.
the barter economy. Goods and services areThe credit card companies will guarantee the
swapped on a no-cash basis. It is money thatpayments which will be subject to residual
generates new value added (by facilitating thecrime.Another fast developing solution is the smart
introduction of new technology, to mention but onecard. These are cards similar to phone cards and they
function). In the absence of money, the economycan be charged with money in the bank or through
stagnates, degenerates and, finally, collapses becauseautomatic teller machines. These cards (in wide use in
of massive mismatches of supply and demandBelgium, Austria, Germany and many other countries)
aggregates and of the types of goods and servicescontain an amount of money which is deducted from
on offer and demanded. Still, this system has thethe cardholders account. The account is billed for
advantages of keeping the economic patient aliveevery recharge. The card is the electronic (and
even following a massive liquidity haemorrhage. In thesmart) equivalent of cash and it can be read
absence of barter economy, the economy might(=debited) by special teller machines in numerous
have ground to a complete halt and deteriorated tobusinesses. When payment is made, the money
subsistence agriculture. But barter is likestored in the card is reduced and the recipient of the
chemotherapy: it is good for a limited period of timepayment stores the payment on magnetic media for
and the side effects are, at times, worse than thelater delivery to his bank (and crediting of his
disease.In many countries (Georgia, to mention one)account).A more primitive version exists in many
defaults are prevented by demanding prepaymentcountries in Eastern Europe: depositors receive
for projected consumption. Let us take thechecks exactly corresponding to the amount of
consumption of electricity as an example: manymoney deposited in their account. These checks are
heavy users and numerous households do not payas safe as the banks that issued them because they
their bills at all. To disconnect the electricity is anare fully convertible to cash. They are, really, paper
effective punitive measure but it costs the electricity"smart cards".Credit cards and (more cheaply) smart
company a lot of money. The solution?cards are a way to restore confidence to a
Programmable Electronic Meters. The consumers buysshattered, illiquid economy. Macedonia should consider
a smart card (very similar to phone-cards). The cardthem both seriously and encourage them through the
allows the buyer to use a certain amount of prepaidappropriate legislation and assistance of the state. For
electricity and is rechargeable. The consumer pays inMacedonia, the choice is to be liquid or, God forbid, to
advance, electricity is not wasted, the electricityeconomically self-liquidate.